How it finished
Norwich City beat Birmingham City 2–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Norwich City had 15 shots (6 on target) to Birmingham City's 14 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.8, so Birmingham City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Norwich City vs Birmingham City?
Norwich City beat Birmingham City 2–1. Bawler's model had Norwich City in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Norwich City had 15 shots (6 on target) to Birmingham City's 14 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 0.9 to 1.8, so Birmingham City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Norwich City vs Birmingham City?
Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham City, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Norwich City 41%, the draw 27% and Birmingham City 31%.
What were the stats in Norwich City vs Birmingham City?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.8, Shots 15–14, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–7, Saves 2–4, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 6–2.
Did both teams score in Norwich City vs Birmingham City?
Yes — both Norwich City and Birmingham City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Norwich City vs Birmingham City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Norwich City or draw 69%, it finished Norwich City won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.