Newcastle United vs 
West Bromwich Albion
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
West Bromwich AlbionNewcastle average 6.8 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). West Brom average 4.0 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Team news — absences and latest club updates· as of 13 Aug 2026
- Tino Livramento — Calf injury sustained training with England before the 2026 World Cup; has since had surgery. Described by Howe as the longest-term absentee of the groupExpected return: Around the start of the season (Howe, late July 2026) - genuine doubt for GW1 v Liverpool on 23 August
- Joelinton — Thigh injury that ended his 2025/26 season; running and rebuilding fitness, missed the opening pre-season matchesExpected return: Around the start of the season
- Lewis Miley — Long-standing injury; 'really good progress'Expected return: Expected to rejoin training at the La Manga camp (early August 2026)
- William Osula — Tight groin - missed the Gateshead friendlyExpected return: 'Fine in a week or so' (Howe, c. 26 July 2026); expected to travel to Spain
- Fabian Schar — Returned in pre-season after seven months out, then went off early in the Bristol City friendly on 29 July 2026 with a suspected groin/tightness problem.
- 13 Aug · DepartureAlex Murphy joins FC Kaiserslautern on season-long loanNewcastle officially confirmed the 22-year-old defender has joined 2. Bundesliga side 1. FC Kaiserslautern on loan for the whole of 2026/27.
- 13 Aug · ReturnElanga and Lewis Hall both start v Everton after fitness scaresNewcastle's official team news confirmed Elanga was "stretchered off in Spain, but is fit enough to start here" — four days after a heavy Jose Gaya challenge at Valencia left him needing a…
Club news is gathered once a day from club statements and reporting, last on 13 Aug 2026. It is not a confirmed team sheet — squads are named about an hour before kick-off, after this page was built, so late fitness news may not appear above.
Predicted lineups — expected XI, not a confirmed team sheet
- GOALKEEPER: Nick Pope vs GBP 18.5m signing Ewen Jaouen - and now Braga's Lukas Hornicek, whose EUR 30m release clause Newcastle have reportedly agreed to meet (TEAMtalk/Football365, 30 July; agreed…
- STRIKER: three-way between Nick Woltemade (GBP 64.9m club-record signing from Stuttgart in Aug 2025, contracted to 2031), Yoane Wissa and William Osula.
Our projected starting elevens from squad news as of 30 July 2026 — not team sheets. Clubs confirm their starting elevens around an hour before kick-off, after this page was built. Only one side in this fixture is covered by our squad dossiers.
Early projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
Fantasy angle — top FPL picks in this fixture (2026/27 projections)
ThiawNEW · DEF · £5.0m3.6 pts
BarnesNEW · MID · £6.0m2.9 pts
HallNEW · DEF · £5.0m2.9 ptsMore predictions for these teams
Newcastle vs West Brom — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Newcastle and West Brom — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Newcastle 58% · draw 26% · West Brom 16%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.