How it finished
Telstar beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1. Bawler's model favoured NEC Nijmegen at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Telstar 17%. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. NEC Nijmegen had 27 shots (4 on target) to Telstar's 8 (3), with 71% of the ball against 29%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.5, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
Telstar beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1. Bawler's model favoured NEC Nijmegen at 59% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Telstar 17%. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. NEC Nijmegen had 27 shots (4 on target) to Telstar's 8 (3), with 71% of the ball against 29%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.5, so NEC Nijmegen created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with NEC Nijmegen 59%, the draw 24% and Telstar 17%.
What were the stats in NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
Full-time: Possession 71%–29%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.5, Shots 27–8, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 17–8, Big chances 2–2, Corners 13–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar?
Yes — both NEC Nijmegen and Telstar scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said NEC Nijmegen 59%, it finished Telstar (17% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Landed.