FT · EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
NEC Nijmegen 2–1 OlympiacosMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Tuesday, 11 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had NEC Nijmegen at 55%, draw at 27%, Olympiacos at 18%. The match ended 2-1 — confirming the model's lean toward NEC Nijmegen.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Nijmegen win
55%
Actual ✓
Draw
27%
Olympiacos win
18%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 77%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 54%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 25%
✗ Lost