Como beat Napoli 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Napoli had 13 shots (2 on target) to Como's 21 (6), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.0, so Napoli created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 64%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Como beat Napoli 2–1. Bawler's model had Como in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. Napoli had 13 shots (2 on target) to Como's 21 (6), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 1.0, so Napoli created the better chances and still lost the game.
Napoli 1–2 Como, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Napoli 32%, the draw 29% and Como 40%.
Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 13–21, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 9–13, Big chances 1–0, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–1, Fouls 9–5, Offsides 9–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Napoli and Como scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Como 40%, it finished Como (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 71%, it finished Landed.