How it finished
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 3–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Motherwell had 4 shots (1 on target) to SC Freiburg's 26 (10), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 3–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 4. Motherwell had 4 shots (1 on target) to SC Freiburg's 26 (10), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.4.
What was the final score in Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Motherwell 1–3 SC Freiburg, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Motherwell 22%, the draw 26% and SC Freiburg 52%.
What were the stats in Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.4, Shots 4–26, Shots on target 1–10, Shots inside box 3–17, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–8, Saves 7–0, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?
Yes — both Motherwell and SC Freiburg scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Motherwell vs SC Freiburg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg or draw 78%, it finished SC Freiburg won (52% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said SC Freiburg to win 52%, it finished Landed.