Atlanta United FC beat Minnesota United FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlanta United FC 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Minnesota United FC had 13 shots (4 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 0.9, so Minnesota United FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Atlanta United FC beat Minnesota United FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Minnesota United FC at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Atlanta United FC 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Minnesota United FC had 13 shots (4 on target) to Atlanta United FC's 10 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 0.9, so Minnesota United FC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Minnesota United FC 52%, the draw 25% and Atlanta United FC 23%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–0.9, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 6–2, Corners 6–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 4–3.
Yes — both Minnesota United FC and Atlanta United FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Minnesota United FC 52%, it finished Atlanta United FC (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 54%, it finished Landed.