Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Monday 06 Jul, 00:00 UTC

Mexico vs England — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 80.4% · @ 1.24
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 25.6% · @ 3.90
BAWL OUT
Bukayo Saka 1+ Shot on Target + Mexico or draw + Fewer than 11 corners + Over 2.5 goals
Model 27.7% · @ 3.62x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Harry Kane
England · Bayern Munich
60%@ 1.67x fair
Anytime Scorer
Santiago Giménez
Mexico · AC Milan
42%@ 2.38x fair
Anytime Scorer
Bukayo Saka
England · Arsenal
42%@ 2.38x fair
See today's free picks ▶

Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly