FC Porto beat Maritimo 2–1. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Porto's 19 (9), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
FC Porto beat Maritimo 2–1. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Porto's 19 (9), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.
Maritimo 1–2 FC Porto, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maritimo 13%, the draw 21% and FC Porto 66%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.1, Shots 7–19, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 2–15, Big chances 0–5, Corners 2–6, Saves 7–3, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both Maritimo and FC Porto scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.