Maritimo vs FC Porto prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 10 Oct · 18:00 UK
13Maritimo win21Draw66FC Porto win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

FC Porto beat Maritimo 2–1. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Porto's 19 (9), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.

MaritimoFull-time statsFC Porto
41%Possession59%
0.2Expected goals (xG)2.1
7Shots19
4Shots on target9
2Shots inside box15
0Big chances5
2Corners6
7Saves3
15Fouls15
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
We predicted
0–2
FC Porto to win · 12% for this exact score
Expected goals
0.8v2.1
2.9 in total
Both teams score
49%
Leans no
3+ goals
55%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

MaritimoMaritimoFC PortoFC Porto
0.8Goals2.1
9.2Shots12.8
2.5On target6.2
2.4Corners6.6
MaritimoMaritimoFC PortoFC Porto
0.3Goals0.8
4.4Shots5.8
1.0On target2.7
1.1Corners3.1
MaritimoMaritimoFC PortoFC Porto
0.5Goals1.3
4.8Shots7.0
1.4On target3.5
1.3Corners3.5

What we said the chances were

FC Porto to score88%
2 or more goals78%
3 goals or fewer67%
Goal before half-time66%

First half — what we expected

Maritimo
23%
to score before half-time
FC Porto
55%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

MaritimoMaritimoFC PortoFC Porto
43%5+ shots63%
20%7+ shots37%
28%2+ shots on target71%
<10%4+ shots on target29%
31%2+ corners76%
<10%4+ corners37%

League position

FC Porto in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2023Marítimo 0–2 FC Porto
Aug 2022FC Porto 5–1 Marítimo
Jan 2022FC Porto 2–1 Marítimo
Aug 2021Marítimo 1–1 FC Porto
Feb 2021Marítimo 1–2 FC Porto
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Maritimo form →FC Porto form →

Common questions

Who won Maritimo vs FC Porto?

FC Porto beat Maritimo 2–1. Maritimo had 7 shots (4 on target) to FC Porto's 19 (9), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.

What was the final score in Maritimo vs FC Porto?

Maritimo 1–2 FC Porto, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maritimo 13%, the draw 21% and FC Porto 66%.

What were the stats in Maritimo vs FC Porto?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.1, Shots 7–19, Shots on target 4–9, Shots inside box 2–15, Big chances 0–5, Corners 2–6, Saves 7–3, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Maritimo vs FC Porto?

Yes — both Maritimo and FC Porto scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.