Maritimo vs Casa Pia prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 8 Aug · 15:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 8 Aug · 15:30 UK
Maritimo 52Draw 30Casa Pia 19
The call
73%
Maritimo or draw
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Maritimo beat Casa Pia 1–0. Bawler's model had Maritimo in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Maritimo had 16 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 9 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

MaritimoFull-time statsCasa Pia
39%Possession61%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.7
16Shots9
4Shots on target4
12Shots inside box6
2Big chances1
2Corners6
4Saves3
17Fouls13
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultMaritimo 52%Maritimo (52% called)
Total goals2.61
Both teams to score50%No
Model call1X 73%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Maritimo to score82%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Casa Pia to score61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.8 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Maritimo vs Casa Pia?

Maritimo beat Casa Pia 1–0. Bawler's model had Maritimo in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Maritimo had 16 shots (4 on target) to Casa Pia's 9 (4), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Maritimo vs Casa Pia?

Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia, played on 08 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maritimo 52%, the draw 30% and Casa Pia 19%.

What were the stats in Maritimo vs Casa Pia?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.7, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–6, Saves 4–3, Fouls 17–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Maritimo vs Casa Pia?

No. It finished 1–0, so Casa Pia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Maritimo vs Casa Pia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Maritimo 52%, it finished Maritimo (52% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 73%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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