Maritimo and Académico de Viseu drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Académico de Viseu at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Maritimo had 11 shots (4 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 13 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Maritimo and Académico de Viseu drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Académico de Viseu at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Maritimo had 11 shots (4 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 13 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.8.
Maritimo 2–2 Académico de Viseu, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maritimo 32%, the draw 28% and Académico de Viseu 40%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.8, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–6.
Yes — both Maritimo and Académico de Viseu scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Académico de Viseu or draw 68%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.