Maritimo vs Académico de Viseu prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 22 Aug · 15:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 22 Aug · 15:30 UK
Maritimo 32Draw 28Académico de Viseu 40
Our call before kickoff
68%
Académico de Viseu or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Maritimo and Académico de Viseu drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Académico de Viseu at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Maritimo had 11 shots (4 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 13 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.8.

MaritimoFull-time statsAcadémico de…
53%Possession47%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.8
11Shots13
4Shots on target7
8Shots inside box9
1Big chances4
4Corners5
5Saves2
15Fouls16
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards6
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAcadémico de Viseu or draw 68%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score54%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MaritimoAcadémico de Viseu
1.2
Goals+0.2
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Académico de Viseu to score76%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Maritimo to score71%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Maritimo 1 · Draws 3 · Académico de Viseu 1
Académico de Viseu in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Academico Viseu 3–1 Maritimo
Oct 2025Maritimo 2–2 Academico Viseu
Mar 2025Maritimo 1–1 Academico Viseu
Oct 2024Academico Viseu 0–2 Maritimo
May 2024Academico Viseu 2–2 Maritimo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Maritimo vs Académico de Viseu?

Maritimo and Académico de Viseu drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Académico de Viseu at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Maritimo had 11 shots (4 on target) to Académico de Viseu's 13 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Maritimo vs Académico de Viseu?

Maritimo 2–2 Académico de Viseu, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Maritimo 32%, the draw 28% and Académico de Viseu 40%.

What were the stats in Maritimo vs Académico de Viseu?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.8, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 8–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–6.

Did both teams score in Maritimo vs Académico de Viseu?

Yes — both Maritimo and Académico de Viseu scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Maritimo vs Académico de Viseu right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Académico de Viseu or draw 68%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
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