How it finished
Troyes beat Lorient 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Troyes 20%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Lorient had 15 shots (6 on target) to Troyes' 11 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 73%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Lorient vs Troyes?
Troyes beat Lorient 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lorient at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Troyes 20%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Lorient had 15 shots (6 on target) to Troyes' 11 (2), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Lorient vs Troyes?
Lorient 1–2 Troyes, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lorient 56%, the draw 24% and Troyes 20%.
What were the stats in Lorient vs Troyes?
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.6, Shots 15–11, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 9–10, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–5, Saves 0–4, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 0–3.
Did both teams score in Lorient vs Troyes?
Yes — both Lorient and Troyes scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Lorient vs Troyes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Lorient 56%, it finished Troyes (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 80%, it finished Missed.