FT · France: Ligue 1 · Monday, 02 November 2026
Lorient 0–2 BrestMatch recap · Monday, 02 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Lorient or Draw✗
Lorient Over 10.5 Shots✓
Ibrahima Baldé 2+ Shots✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Lorient win
44%
Draw
27%
Brest win
30%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.