Lommel SK vs Club Brugge prediction — Pro League · Fri 4 Sept · 19:45 UK

Pro League · Fri 4 Sept · 19:45 UK
Lommel SK 40Draw 27Club Brugge 33
The call
40%
Lommel SK to win
2.7
Goals expected
14d 11hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

Lommel SK or draw67%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
BTTS56%
Lommel SK win to nil21%
Club Brugge or draw60%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Correct score 1–112%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5LOM 0 · D 0 · BRU 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Sept 2016Club Brugge 3–1 Lommel
Oct 2010Club Brugge 3–1 Lommel
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Common questions

Who will win Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Bawler's model rates this match: Lommel SK are favoured (40% win probability vs 33% for Club Brugge, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Lommel SK 1-1 Club Brugge (12.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.74.

How does Bawler predict Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Lommel SK 40%, the draw 27% and Club Brugge 33%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.44 and away expected goals 1.30.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.74. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Lommel SK form →Club Brugge form →