Club Brugge beat Lommel SK 1–0. Bawler's model had Club Brugge in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Lommel SK had 7 shots (2 on target) to Club Brugge's 13 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Club Brugge beat Lommel SK 1–0. Bawler's model had Club Brugge in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Lommel SK had 7 shots (2 on target) to Club Brugge's 13 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.
Lommel SK 0–1 Club Brugge, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lommel SK 17%, the draw 22% and Club Brugge 62%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.8, Shots 7–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 1–0, Corners 2–9, Saves 2–2, Fouls 7–15, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Lommel SK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Club Brugge to win 62%, it finished Club Brugge won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.