Lommel SK vs Club Brugge prediction — Belgian Pro League · Fri 4 Sept · 19:45 UK

Belgian Pro League · Fri 4 Sept · 19:45 UK
Lommel SK 17Draw 22Club Brugge 62
Our call before kickoff
62%
Club Brugge to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
55%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Club Brugge beat Lommel SK 1–0. Bawler's model had Club Brugge in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Lommel SK had 7 shots (2 on target) to Club Brugge's 13 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.

Lommel SKFull-time statsClub Brugge
48%Possession52%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
7Shots13
2Shots on target3
5Shots inside box10
1Big chances0
2Corners9
2Saves2
7Fouls15
4Offsides3
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callClub Brugge to win 62%Club Brugge won (62% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score55%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Lommel SKClub Brugge
1.0
Goals+1.1
2.1
10.4
Shots+8.4
18.8
2.3
On target+4.4
6.8
2.7
Corners+6.6
9.3
Lommel SKClub Brugge
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
4.7
Shots+3.4
8.2
1.1
On target+1.9
2.9
1.3
Corners+3.1
4.4
Lommel SKClub Brugge
0.6
Goals+0.9
1.5
5.6
Shots+5.0
10.6
1.3
On target+2.6
3.8
1.4
Corners+3.5
4.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Club Brugge to score88%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Lommel SK to score63%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Lommel SK
36%
to score before half-time
Club Brugge
59%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Lommel SKClub Brugge
4.71st-half shots8.2
1.11st-half shots on target2.9
1.31st-half corners4.4

First-half chances

23%Chance of 7+ shots65%
<10%Chance of 9+ shots42%
28%Chance of 2+ shots on target75%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target33%
16%Chance of 3+ corners76%
<10%Chance of 5+ corners43%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Lommel SK4.75.6
Shots · Club Brugge8.210.6
Shots on target · Lommel SK1.11.3
Shots on target · Club Brugge2.93.8
Corners · Lommel SK1.31.4
Corners · Club Brugge4.44.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Lommel SK 0 · Draws 0 · Club Brugge 2
Club Brugge in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Sept 2016Club Brugge 3–1 Lommel
Oct 2010Club Brugge 3–1 Lommel
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Club Brugge beat Lommel SK 1–0. Bawler's model had Club Brugge in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Lommel SK had 7 shots (2 on target) to Club Brugge's 13 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Lommel SK 0–1 Club Brugge, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lommel SK 17%, the draw 22% and Club Brugge 62%.

What were the stats in Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.8, Shots 7–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 1–0, Corners 2–9, Saves 2–2, Fouls 7–15, Offsides 4–3, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Lommel SK vs Club Brugge?

No. It finished 0–1, so Lommel SK failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lommel SK vs Club Brugge right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Club Brugge to win 62%, it finished Club Brugge won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

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