Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction — EFL Cup · Tue 15 Sept · 20:00 UK

EFL Cup · Tue 15 Sept · 20:00 UK
56Liverpool win24Draw20Tottenham Hotspur win
Full time
3–1

How it finished

Liverpool beat Tottenham Hotspur 3–1. Liverpool had 12 shots (5 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 17 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.3, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.

LiverpoolFull-time statsTottenham…
44%Possession56%
1.5Expected goals (xG)2.3
12Shots17
5Shots on target6
6Shots inside box11
2Big chances3
5Corners9
5Saves2
15Fouls11
1Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if Liverpool win (11%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.0
2.8 in total
Both teams score
53%
Leans yes
3+ goals
54%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

LiverpoolLiverpoolTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
1.8Goals1.0
17.2Shots11.0
5.5On target3.8
4.3Corners4.6
LiverpoolLiverpoolTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0.9Goals0.4
7.8Shots4.9
2.6On target1.5
2.0Corners2.2
LiverpoolLiverpoolTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
0.9Goals0.6
9.4Shots6.0
2.9On target2.2
2.3Corners2.4

What we said the chances were

Liverpool to score84%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time72%
3 goals or fewer68%
Tottenham Hotspur to score64%

First half — what we expected

Liverpool
60%
to score before half-time
Tottenham Hotspur
31%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

LiverpoolLiverpoolTottenham HotspurTottenham Hotspur
60%7+ shots26%
38%9+ shots11%
70%2+ shots on target43%
28%4+ shots on target<10%
81%1+ corners84%
32%3+ corners36%

League position

Tottenham Hotspur in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Mar 2026Liverpool 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur
Dec 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Liverpool
Apr 2025Liverpool 5–1 Tottenham Hotspur
Feb 2025Liverpool 4–0 Tottenham Hotspur
Jan 2025Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Liverpool
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Liverpool form →Tottenham Hotspur form →

Common questions

Who won Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Liverpool beat Tottenham Hotspur 3–1. Liverpool had 12 shots (5 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 17 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.3, so Tottenham Hotspur created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Liverpool 3–1 Tottenham Hotspur, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Liverpool 56%, the draw 24% and Tottenham Hotspur 20%.

What were the stats in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.3, Shots 12–17, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 6–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–9, Saves 5–2, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Yes — both Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.