Barcelona beat Levante 4–2. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Levante had 13 shots (7 on target) to Barcelona's 12 (6), with 25% of the ball against 75%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Barcelona beat Levante 4–2. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Levante had 13 shots (7 on target) to Barcelona's 12 (6), with 25% of the ball against 75%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 2.6.
Levante 2–4 Barcelona, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Levante 23%, the draw 23% and Barcelona 55%.
Full-time: Possession 25%–75%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–2.6, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 5–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Yes — both Levante and Barcelona scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona or draw 77%, it finished Barcelona won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Barcelona to win 55%, it finished Landed.