Levante vs Barcelona prediction — LaLiga · Sun 13 Sept · 15:15 UK

LaLiga · Sun 13 Sept · 15:15 UK
Levante 23Draw 23Barcelona 55
Our call before kickoff
77%
Barcelona or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–4
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Barcelona beat Levante 4–2. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Levante had 13 shots (7 on target) to Barcelona's 12 (6), with 25% of the ball against 75%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 2.6.

LevanteFull-time statsBarcelona
25%Possession75%
2.5Expected goals (xG)2.6
13Shots12
7Shots on target6
10Shots inside box10
5Big chances3
3Corners5
2Saves4
11Fouls11
4Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBarcelona or draw 77%Barcelona won (55% called)
Total goals3.36
Both teams to score62%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickBarcelona to win 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LevanteBarcelona
1.3
Goals+0.8
2.0
7.9
Shots+9.6
17.5
2.2
On target+7.9
10.1
2.5
Corners+4.6
7.1
LevanteBarcelona
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
3.4
Shots+4.5
7.8
0.9
On target+3.7
4.6
1.2
Corners+2.2
3.4
LevanteBarcelona
0.9
Goals+0.6
1.5
4.5
Shots+5.1
9.6
1.3
On target+4.2
5.6
1.3
Corners+2.4
3.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Barcelona to score87%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Levante to score72%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Levante
39%
to score before half-time
Barcelona
59%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

LevanteBarcelona
3.41st-half shots7.8
0.91st-half shots on target4.6
1.21st-half corners3.4

First-half chances

<10%Chance of 7+ shots61%
<10%Chance of 9+ shots39%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target63%
<10%Chance of 6+ shots on target32%
32%Chance of 2+ corners80%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners42%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Levante3.44.5
Shots · Barcelona7.89.6
Shots on target · Levante0.91.3
Shots on target · Barcelona4.65.6
Corners · Levante1.21.3
Corners · Barcelona3.43.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Levante 0 · Draws 1 · Barcelona 4
Barcelona in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Barcelona 3–0 Levante
Aug 2025Levante 2–3 Barcelona
Apr 2022Levante 2–3 Barcelona
Sept 2021Barcelona 3–0 Levante
May 2021Levante 3–3 Barcelona
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Levante vs Barcelona?

Barcelona beat Levante 4–2. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Levante had 13 shots (7 on target) to Barcelona's 12 (6), with 25% of the ball against 75%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 2.6.

What was the final score in Levante vs Barcelona?

Levante 2–4 Barcelona, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Levante 23%, the draw 23% and Barcelona 55%.

What were the stats in Levante vs Barcelona?

Full-time: Possession 25%–75%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–2.6, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 5–3, Corners 3–5, Saves 2–4, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Levante vs Barcelona?

Yes — both Levante and Barcelona scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Levante vs Barcelona right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona or draw 77%, it finished Barcelona won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Barcelona to win 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Levante form →Barcelona form →