FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Sevilla 1–3 BarcelonaMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sevilla win
17%
Draw
21%
Barcelona win
61%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.1 – 2.1
Total 3.2
Actual
1 – 3
Total 4 (+0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.5 – 3.3
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.