How it finished
Le Mans and Lens drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Lens at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Le Mans had 12 shots (4 on target) to Lens' 16 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Le Mans vs Lens?
Le Mans and Lens drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Lens at 60% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 22%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Le Mans had 12 shots (4 on target) to Lens' 16 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Le Mans vs Lens?
Le Mans 2–2 Lens, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Le Mans 18%, the draw 22% and Lens 60%.
What were the stats in Le Mans vs Lens?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–1.2, Shots 12–16, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 11–12, Big chances 4–4, Corners 3–9, Saves 4–2, Fouls 17–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Le Mans vs Lens?
Yes — both Le Mans and Lens scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Le Mans vs Lens right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lens to win 60%, it finished Draw (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Lens or draw 82%, it finished Landed.