KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4–2. Bawler's model had KVC Westerlo in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. KVC Westerlo had 10 shots (7 on target) to Standard Liege's 12 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4–2. Bawler's model had KVC Westerlo in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. KVC Westerlo had 10 shots (7 on target) to Standard Liege's 12 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
KVC Westerlo 4–2 Standard Liege, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KVC Westerlo 43%, the draw 25% and Standard Liege 32%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 4–0, Corners 1–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 1–1.
Yes — both KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KVC Westerlo or draw 68%, it finished KVC Westerlo won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.