KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 12 Sept · 17:15 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 12 Sept · 17:15 UK
KVC Westerlo 43Draw 25Standard Liege 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
KVC Westerlo or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
63%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4–2. Bawler's model had KVC Westerlo in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. KVC Westerlo had 10 shots (7 on target) to Standard Liege's 12 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.

KVC WesterloFull-time statsStandard…
43%Possession57%
1.4Expected goals (xG)1.2
10Shots12
7Shots on target6
7Shots inside box8
4Big chances0
1Corners7
4Saves3
8Fouls7
1Offsides1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callKVC Westerlo or draw 68%KVC Westerlo won (43% called)
Total goals3.26
Both teams to score63%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KVC WesterloStandard Liege
1.7
Goals+0.3
1.5
20.4
Shots+3.4
17.0
5.4
On target+2.6
8.0
4.9
Corners+3.0
7.9
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
0.5
Goals
0.5
9.3
Shots+1.1
8.2
2.4
On target+1.3
3.7
2.3
Corners+1.4
3.7
KVC WesterloStandard Liege
1.2
Goals+0.3
0.9
11.1
Shots+2.3
8.8
3.0
On target+1.3
4.3
2.6
Corners+1.6
4.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals82%
KVC Westerlo to score82%
Standard Liege to score77%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

KVC Westerlo
53%
to score before half-time
Standard Liege
55%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

KVC WesterloStandard Liege
9.31st-half shots8.2
2.41st-half shots on target3.7
2.31st-half corners3.7

First-half chances

65%Chance of 8+ shots54%
44%Chance of 10+ shots33%
42%Chance of 3+ shots on target68%
13%Chance of 5+ shots on target32%
39%Chance of 3+ corners67%
12%Chance of 5+ corners32%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · KVC Westerlo9.311.1
Shots · Standard Liege8.28.8
Shots on target · KVC Westerlo2.43.0
Shots on target · Standard Liege3.74.3
Corners · KVC Westerlo2.32.6
Corners · Standard Liege3.74.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Standard Liege in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Westerlo 1–2 Standard Liège
Apr 2026Standard Liège 1–2 Westerlo
Mar 2026Standard Liège 0–0 Westerlo
Sept 2025Westerlo 0–2 Standard Liège
May 2025Westerlo 0–0 Standard Liège
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

KVC Westerlo beat Standard Liege 4–2. Bawler's model had KVC Westerlo in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 6. KVC Westerlo had 10 shots (7 on target) to Standard Liege's 12 (6), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.

What was the final score in KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

KVC Westerlo 4–2 Standard Liege, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KVC Westerlo 43%, the draw 25% and Standard Liege 32%.

What were the stats in KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 4–0, Corners 1–7, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 1–1.

Did both teams score in KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Yes — both KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege scored, finishing 4–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said KVC Westerlo or draw 68%, it finished KVC Westerlo won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KVC Westerlo form →Standard Liege form →