Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Thursday 25 Jun, 23:00 UTC

Japan vs Sweden — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 2.5 goals
Model 73.3% · @ 1.36
DARK HORSE
Sweden to win
Model 26.6% · @ 3.77
BAWL OUT
Japan or draw + Over 2.5 goals + 9 or more corners + Viktor Gyökeres 5+ Shots
Model 24.1% · @ 4.15x

Star picks · player props

2 picks
Anytime Scorer
Viktor Gyökeres
Sweden · Arsenal
58%@ 1.72x fair
Anytime Scorer
Alexander Isak
Sweden · Liverpool
52%@ 1.92x fair
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly