Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa prediction — Süper Lig · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UK

Süper Lig · Sun 30 Aug · 19:30 UK
Istanbul Basaksehir 62Draw 23Kasimpasa 15
Our call before kickoff
62%
Istanbul Basaksehir to win
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Istanbul Basaksehir and Kasimpasa drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Istanbul Basaksehir at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Istanbul Basaksehir had 12 shots (2 on target) to Kasimpasa's 12 (3), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

Istanbul…Full-time statsKasimpasa
64%Possession36%
12Shots12
2Shots on target3
5Corners3
2Saves1
11Fouls13
2Offsides3
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callIstanbul Basaksehir to win 62%Draw (23% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score49%Yes
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Istanbul BasaksehirKasimpasa
2.0
Goals+1.1
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Istanbul Basaksehir to score86%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals69%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.1 / match
Kasimpasa in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa?

Istanbul Basaksehir and Kasimpasa drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Istanbul Basaksehir at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Istanbul Basaksehir had 12 shots (2 on target) to Kasimpasa's 12 (3), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

What was the final score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa?

Istanbul Basaksehir 1–1 Kasimpasa, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the TURKEY: Super Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Istanbul Basaksehir 62%, the draw 23% and Kasimpasa 15%.

What were the stats in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 2–3, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–1, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa?

Yes — both Istanbul Basaksehir and Kasimpasa scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Istanbul Basaksehir to win 62%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Istanbul Basaksehir form →Kasimpasa form →