FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Trabzonspor 2–1 Istanbul BasaksehirMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Trabzonspor or draw at 67%. Bawler had Trabzonspor at 41%, the draw at 26% and Istanbul Basaksehir at 33%. The match finished 2–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Trabzonspor win
41%
Result
Draw
26%
Istanbul Basaksehir win
33%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.4
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.0 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 26%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.