FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Çorum FK 0–1 KasimpasaMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was Çorum FK or draw at 77%. Bawler had Çorum FK at 49%, the draw at 28% and Kasimpasa at 23%. The match finished 0–1.
Pre-match probability vs result
Çorum FK win
49%
Draw
28%
Kasimpasa win
23%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.0
Total 2.5
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Çorum FK or draw
Pre-match: 77%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 24%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.