Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Tuesday 16 Jun, 01:00 UTC

Iran vs New Zealand — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 2.5 goals
Model 72.5% · @ 1.38
VALUE
New Zealand or draw
Model 46.7% · @ 2.14
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 24.2% · @ 4.14

Star picks · player props

2 picks
Anytime Scorer
Mehdi Taremi
Iran · Olympiacos
44%@ 2.27x fair
Anytime Scorer
Chris Wood
New Zealand · Nottingham Forest
40%@ 2.50x fair
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly