Frosinone beat Fiorentina 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Fiorentina at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Frosinone 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Fiorentina had 25 shots (4 on target) to Frosinone's 12 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.1, so Fiorentina created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 67%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Frosinone beat Fiorentina 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Fiorentina at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Frosinone 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Fiorentina had 25 shots (4 on target) to Frosinone's 12 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.1, so Fiorentina created the better chances and still lost the game.
Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fiorentina 52%, the draw 25% and Frosinone 23%.
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.1, Shots 25–12, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 14–10, Big chances 1–3, Corners 8–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–21, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 0–3, so Fiorentina failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Fiorentina 52%, it finished Frosinone (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 52%, it finished Missed.