FC Twente vs Telstar prediction — Eredivisie · Wed 9 Sept · 17:45 UK

Eredivisie · Wed 9 Sept · 17:45 UK
FC Twente 68Draw 18Telstar 14
Our call before kickoff
68%
FC Twente to win
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
68%

How it finished

FC Twente beat Telstar 1–0. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. FC Twente had 22 shots (8 on target) to Telstar's 3 (2), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.2.

FC TwenteFull-time statsTelstar
63%Possession37%
2.5Expected goals (xG)0.2
22Shots3
8Shots on target2
14Shots inside box3
2Big chances0
9Corners2
2Saves7
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Twente to win 68%FC Twente won (68% called)
Total goals3.51
Both teams to score59%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FC TwenteTelstar
2.5
Goals+1.4
1.0
27.0
Shots+20.1
6.9
10.1
On target+8.3
1.7
8.3
Corners+4.8
3.5
FC TwenteTelstar
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
13.2
Shots+10.2
3.0
5.0
On target+4.3
0.8
3.9
Corners+2.2
1.7
FC TwenteTelstar
1.9
Goals+1.1
0.7
13.8
Shots+9.9
3.9
5.0
On target+4.0
1.0
4.4
Corners+2.5
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
FC Twente to score91%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Telstar to score64%

First half — what we expected

FC Twente
60%
to score before half-time
Telstar
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

FC TwenteTelstar
13.21st-half shots3.0
5.01st-half shots on target0.8
3.91st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

62%Chance of 12+ shots<10%
44%Chance of 14+ shots<10%
70%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
39%Chance of 6+ shots on target<10%
70%Chance of 3+ corners24%
35%Chance of 5+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · FC Twente13.213.8
Shots · Telstar3.03.9
Shots on target · FC Twente5.05.0
Shots on target · Telstar0.81.0
Corners · FC Twente3.94.4
Corners · Telstar1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FC Twente 3 · Draws 2 · Telstar 0
Telstar in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Telstar 1–1 FC Twente
Nov 2025FC Twente 0–0 Telstar
Jan 2023FC Twente 3–1 Telstar
Apr 2019FC Twente 1–0 Telstar
Sept 2018Telstar 1–3 FC Twente
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Twente vs Telstar?

FC Twente beat Telstar 1–0. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. FC Twente had 22 shots (8 on target) to Telstar's 3 (2), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.2.

What was the final score in FC Twente vs Telstar?

FC Twente 1–0 Telstar, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Twente 68%, the draw 18% and Telstar 14%.

What were the stats in FC Twente vs Telstar?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–0.2, Shots 22–3, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 14–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 9–2, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in FC Twente vs Telstar?

No. It finished 1–0, so Telstar failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Twente vs Telstar right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 68%, it finished FC Twente won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →FC Twente form →Telstar form →