Maritimo beat FC Famalicao 2–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maritimo 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. FC Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Maritimo beat FC Famalicao 2–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maritimo 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. FC Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.6.
FC Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 48%, the draw 32% and Maritimo 20%.
Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.6, Shots 14–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 1–5, Corners 5–1, Saves 2–3, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Yes — both FC Famalicao and Maritimo scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Famalicao 48%, it finished Maritimo (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 70%, it finished Landed.