FC Famalicao vs Maritimo prediction — Primeira Liga · Sun 16 Aug · 20:30 UK

Primeira Liga · Sun 16 Aug · 20:30 UK
FC Famalicao 48Draw 32Maritimo 20
The call
70%
Over 1.5 goals
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Maritimo beat FC Famalicao 2–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maritimo 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. FC Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.6.

FC FamalicaoFull-time statsMaritimo
67%Possession33%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.6
14Shots9
4Shots on target4
8Shots inside box7
1Big chances5
5Corners1
2Saves3
11Fouls16
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultFC Famalicao 48%Maritimo (20% called)
Total goals2.53
Both teams to score48%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 70%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
FC Famalicao to score79%
Under 3.5 goals76%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Maritimo to score61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5FAM 3 · D 2 · MAR 0
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Apr 2023Famalicao 3–2 Maritimo
Nov 2022Maritimo 0–0 Famalicao
Feb 2022Maritimo 0–1 Famalicao
Sept 2021Famalicao 0–0 Maritimo
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?

Maritimo beat FC Famalicao 2–1. Bawler's model favoured FC Famalicao at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Maritimo 20%. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 3. FC Famalicao had 14 shots (4 on target) to Maritimo's 9 (4), with 67% of the ball against 33%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.6.

What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?

FC Famalicao 1–2 Maritimo, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 48%, the draw 32% and Maritimo 20%.

What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?

Full-time: Possession 67%–33%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.6, Shots 14–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 1–5, Corners 5–1, Saves 2–3, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Maritimo?

Yes — both FC Famalicao and Maritimo scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for FC Famalicao vs Maritimo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said FC Famalicao 48%, it finished Maritimo (20% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 70%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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