FC Famalicao vs Alverca prediction — Liga Portugal · Mon 12 Oct · 20:15 UK

Liga Portugal · Mon 12 Oct · 20:15 UK
50FC Famalicao win27Draw23Alverca win
Full time
1–4

How it finished

Alverca beat FC Famalicao 4–1. FC Famalicao had 13 shots (2 on target) to Alverca's 14 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.9.

FC FamalicaoFull-time statsAlverca
64%Possession36%
0.4Expected goals (xG)2.9
13Shots14
2Shots on target5
5Shots inside box10
1Big chances6
8Corners3
1Saves1
11Fouls27
2Offsides0
3Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–0
Likeliest score if FC Famalicao win (12%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (13%)
Expected goals
1.6v1.0
2.6 in total
Both teams score
50%
Coin flip
3+ goals
47%
Leans unlikely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

FC FamalicaoFC FamalicaoAlvercaAlverca
1.6Goals1.0
18.8Shots9.6
4.6On target4.0
6.6Corners4.8
FC FamalicaoFC FamalicaoAlvercaAlverca
0.7Goals0.5
8.7Shots4.4
2.0On target1.8
3.1Corners2.2
FC FamalicaoFC FamalicaoAlvercaAlverca
0.9Goals0.5
10.2Shots5.2
2.5On target2.2
3.5Corners2.5

What we said the chances were

FC Famalicao to score79%
3 goals or fewer74%
2 or more goals73%
Goal before half-time68%
Alverca to score63%

First half — what we expected

FC Famalicao
48%
to score before half-time
Alverca
39%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

FC FamalicaoFC FamalicaoAlvercaAlverca
59%8+ shots13%
38%10+ shots<10%
83%1+ shots on target79%
33%3+ shots on target28%
76%2+ corners61%
37%4+ corners21%

League position

Alverca in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Famalicão 1–0 Alverca
Jan 2026Alverca 1–0 Famalicão
Nov 2021Alverca 1–2 Famalicão
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →FC Famalicao form →Alverca form →

Common questions

Who won FC Famalicao vs Alverca?

Alverca beat FC Famalicao 4–1. FC Famalicao had 13 shots (2 on target) to Alverca's 14 (5), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.9.

What was the final score in FC Famalicao vs Alverca?

FC Famalicao 1–4 Alverca, played on 12 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Famalicao 50%, the draw 27% and Alverca 23%.

What were the stats in FC Famalicao vs Alverca?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.9, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 2–5, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 1–6, Corners 8–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 11–27, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in FC Famalicao vs Alverca?

Yes — both FC Famalicao and Alverca scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.