FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Friday, 06 November 2026
FC Famalicao 1–0 AroucaMatch recap · Friday, 06 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
FC Famalicao or Draw✓
FC Famalicao Over 10.5 Shots✓
Georgios Koutsias 1+ Shot on Target✗
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
FC Famalicao win
45%
Result
Draw
28%
Arouca win
27%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.1
Total 2.5
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.