Everton vs Crystal Palace prediction — Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK
Everton 36Draw 27Crystal Palace 37
The call
75%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Everton beat Crystal Palace 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Crystal Palace at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Everton 36%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Everton had 16 shots (5 on target) to Crystal Palace's 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 2.0, so Crystal Palace created the better chances and still lost the game.

EvertonFull-time statsCrystal…
42%Possession58%
1.2Expected goals (xG)2.0
16Shots11
5Shots on target4
11Shots inside box8
1Big chances4
4Corners0
4Saves3
5Fouls15
2Offsides0
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCrystal Palace 37%Everton (36% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score55%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 75%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals75%
Crystal Palace to score74%
Everton to score74%
Under 3.5 goals71%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5EVE 3 · D 2 · CRY 0
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton
Oct 2025Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace
Feb 2025Crystal Palace 1–2 Everton
Sept 2024Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton beat Crystal Palace 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Crystal Palace at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Everton 36%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Everton had 16 shots (5 on target) to Crystal Palace's 11 (4), with 42% of the ball against 58%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 2.0, so Crystal Palace created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Everton 36%, the draw 27% and Crystal Palace 37%.

What were the stats in Everton vs Crystal Palace?

Full-time: Possession 42%–58%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.0, Shots 16–11, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–0, Saves 4–3, Fouls 5–15, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Everton vs Crystal Palace?

No. It finished 2–0, so Crystal Palace failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Everton vs Crystal Palace right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Crystal Palace 37%, it finished Everton (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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