Estoril vs FC Famalicao prediction — Primeira Liga · Fri 7 Aug · 20:15 UK

Primeira Liga · Fri 7 Aug · 20:15 UK
Estoril 36Draw 32FC Famalicao 32
The call
64%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1

How it finished

Estoril and FC Famalicao drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Estoril had 14 shots (3 on target) to FC Famalicao's 6 (2), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.4.

EstorilFull-time statsFC Famalicao
50%Possession50%
1.0Expected goals (xG)1.4
14Shots6
3Shots on target2
10Shots inside box4
1Big chances2
7Corners6
0Saves2
12Fouls13
3Offsides1
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultEstoril 36%Draw (32% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score54%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 64%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Estoril to score75%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
FC Famalicao to score72%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid
Full-time recap →
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Common questions

Who won Estoril vs FC Famalicao?

Estoril and FC Famalicao drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Estoril at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 32%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Estoril had 14 shots (3 on target) to FC Famalicao's 6 (2), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.4.

What was the final score in Estoril vs FC Famalicao?

Estoril 1–1 FC Famalicao, played on 07 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Estoril 36%, the draw 32% and FC Famalicao 32%.

What were the stats in Estoril vs FC Famalicao?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.4, Shots 14–6, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 10–4, Big chances 1–2, Corners 7–6, Saves 0–2, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Estoril vs FC Famalicao?

Yes — both Estoril and FC Famalicao scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Estoril vs FC Famalicao right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Estoril 36%, it finished Draw (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 64%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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