Erzurum BB vs Konyaspor prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 5 Sept · 15:00 UK
Erzurum BB 45Draw 26Konyaspor 29
The call
71%
Erzurum BB or draw
2.9
Goals expected
1d 04hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Erzurum BB to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Konyaspor to score73%
Under 3.5 goals66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5ERZ 0 · D 0 · KON 4
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Apr 2021Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Konyaspor
Dec 2020Konyaspor 2–0 Erzurumspor FK
Jan 2019Erzurumspor FK 1–2 Konyaspor
Aug 2018Konyaspor 3–2 Erzurumspor FK
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Common questions

Who will win Erzurum BB vs Konyaspor?

Bawler's model rates this match: Erzurum BB are favoured (45% win probability vs 29% for Konyaspor, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Erzurum BB vs Konyaspor?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Erzurum BB 1-1 Konyaspor (11.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.94.

How does Bawler predict Erzurum BB vs Konyaspor?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Erzurum BB 45%, the draw 26% and Konyaspor 29%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Erzurum BB vs Konyaspor?

BTTS: Yes (59% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.65 and away expected goals 1.30.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Erzurum BB vs Konyaspor?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.94. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Erzurum BB form →Konyaspor form →