Betting picks · 18+·World: World Cup·Thursday 25 Jun, 20:00 UTC

Ecuador vs Germany — picks

Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.

BANKER
Over 2.5 goals
Model 79.7% · @ 1.26
DARK HORSE
Over 3.5 goals
Model 29.3% · @ 3.42
BAWL OUT
Over 2.5 goals + Germany or draw + Enner Valencia 2+ Shots + 9 or more corners
Model 26.0% · @ 3.84x

Star picks · player props

top 3
Anytime Scorer
Florian Wirtz
Germany · Liverpool
42%@ 2.38x fair
Anytime Scorer
Jamal Musiala
Germany · Bayern Munich
40%@ 2.50x fair
Anytime Scorer
Kai Havertz
Germany · Arsenal
38%@ 2.63x fair
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Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly