Dinamo Zagreb beat Anderlecht 1–0. Dinamo Zagreb had 13 shots (3 on target) to Anderlecht's 10 (6), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Dinamo Zagreb beat Anderlecht 1–0. Dinamo Zagreb had 13 shots (3 on target) to Anderlecht's 10 (6), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 Anderlecht, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Dinamo Zagreb 49%, the draw 25% and Anderlecht 26%.
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 13–10, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 6–2, Fouls 21–13, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Anderlecht failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.