Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelBayer Leverkusen on top, with Patrik Schick our likeliest to test the keeper.
Dinamo Zagreb v Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Bayer Leverkusen are favourites on our numbers: 55% to win, against 22% for Dinamo Zagreb and 23% for a draw. Our predicted score is Dinamo Zagreb 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen: the most likely score if Bayer Leverkusen win, at 10%. We expect 3.2 goals in total: 1.2 for Dinamo Zagreb and 2.0 for Bayer Leverkusen. Both sides are more likely than not to score (60%) and three or more goals is 61%.
Dinamo Zagreb come in with two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last six. Bayer Leverkusen have three wins, no draws and three defeats over the same run. Of the players, Patrik Schick (Bayer Leverkusen) tops both our lists, with 3.0 shots and 1.3 on target expected if they start. Facundo Medina of Bayer Leverkusen is the most booked player in either squad, once every 2 games in 2026/27.
We expect Dinamo Zagreb to have 12.2 shots (5.1 on target) and Bayer Leverkusen 16.1 (4.4 on target), and corners at 4.3 to 5.1. That points to Bayer Leverkusen doing more of the attacking. Bawler's pick for this game is Bayer Leverkusen or Draw, Bayer Leverkusen Over 11.5 Shots and Patrik Schick 1+ Shot on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 49% chance, which makes the fair price Evens (2.03).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Dinamo Zagreb · last 6
Bayer Leverkusen · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Bayer Leverkusen or draw is 78% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Bundesliga table →Common questions
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler's model rates this match: Bayer Leverkusen are favoured (55% win probability vs 22% for Dinamo Zagreb, 23% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler's predicted score is Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen: the most likely score if Bayer Leverkusen win, which is the likeliest result (55%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.7%. Expected total goals: 3.2.
How does Bawler predict Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Dinamo Zagreb 22%, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 55%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 60% chance. That is based on Dinamo Zagreb expecting 1.20 goals and Bayer Leverkusen 1.97.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bawler's model expects 3.2 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 61%.
When are the Dinamo Zagreb v Bayer Leverkusen line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Dinamo Zagreb v Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen or Draw (78%), Bayer Leverkusen Over 11.5 Shots (81%), Patrik Schick 1+ Shot on Target (68%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 49% chance, a fair price of Evens (2.03). 18+, please gamble responsibly.