FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 05 November 2026
Sunderland 0–2 Dinamo ZagrebMatch recap · Thursday, 05 November 2026
How Bawler's pick did
Bawler's pickLost
Sunderland or Draw✗
Sunderland Over 11.5 Shots✓
Sunderland Over 1.5 Shots on Target✓
Sunderland Over 2.5 Corners✓
Logged before kickoff, settled from the final stats. Bawler's pick record →
Pre-match probability vs result
Sunderland win
64%
Draw
22%
Dinamo Zagreb win
15%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.9
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 2
Total 2 (−1.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.0 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.