Betting picks · 18+·England: EFL Cup·Saturday 08 Aug, 14:00 UTC
Derby County vs Lincoln City — picks
Bawler's locked selections for this fixture, each with the model's probability and the price it implies. Picks lock before kickoff and are never edited afterwards — that's what makes the track record mean anything. For the model's reasoning without any betting content, see the match prediction.
BANKER
Over 1.5 goals
Model 65.3% · @ 1.53
VALUE
Not both teams to score
Model 52.0% · @ 1.92
DARK HORSE
Draw
Model 22.2% · @ 4.51
BAWL OUT
Under 7.5 SOT + Over 1.5 goals + Derby County or draw
Model 27.7% · @ 3.61x
Statistical analysis for entertainment · Not betting advice · Model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes · 18+ · Please gamble responsibly