D.C. United vs Nashville SC
Bawler weighs each team's recent scoring and defending, then adjusts for home advantage and injuries to work out how this match is likely to go. This page shows the full chain — every number we used.
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 68% because D.C. United's 1.40 xG at home edges Nashville's 1.16 enough to sustain goal-heavy projection in a narrow xG gap.
D.C. United average 4.9 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Nashville average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
More predictions for these teams
D.C. United vs Nashville — Head-to-Head
In 1 recorded meeting since 10 May 2026, D.C. United have won 0, Nashville have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.
| Date | Result | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Nashville 2–2 D.C. United | USA: MLS |
The model's verdict for this fixture: D.C. United 39% · draw 33% · Nashville 28%.
Model probabilities are edge estimates for entertainment — not betting advice, and past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.