D.C. United vs Nashville SC prediction — MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 2 Aug · 00:30 UK
D.C. United 39Draw 33Nashville SC 28
The call
68%
Over 1.5 goals
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

D.C. United and Nashville SC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 33%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. D.C. United had 17 shots (7 on target) to Nashville SC's 10 (2), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.5.

D.C. UnitedFull-time statsNashville SC
39%Possession61%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.5
17Shots10
7Shots on target2
9Shots inside box8
1Big chances1
8Corners3
0Saves5
14Fouls10
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultD.C. United 39%Draw (33% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score52%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 68%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
D.C. United to score75%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Nashville SC to score69%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Opponent strength indexTop quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won D.C. United vs Nashville SC?

D.C. United and Nashville SC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 33%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. D.C. United had 17 shots (7 on target) to Nashville SC's 10 (2), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.5.

What was the final score in D.C. United vs Nashville SC?

D.C. United 2–2 Nashville SC, played on 02 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 39%, the draw 33% and Nashville SC 28%.

What were the stats in D.C. United vs Nashville SC?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.5, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–3, Saves 0–5, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in D.C. United vs Nashville SC?

Yes — both D.C. United and Nashville SC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for D.C. United vs Nashville SC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said D.C. United 39%, it finished Draw (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 68%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →D.C. United form →Nashville SC form →