How it finished
Manchester City beat Crystal Palace 4–1. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Crystal Palace had 9 shots (1 on target) to Manchester City's 18 (9), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 77%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Manchester City beat Crystal Palace 4–1. Bawler's model had Manchester City in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Crystal Palace had 9 shots (1 on target) to Manchester City's 18 (9), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Crystal Palace 36%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 38%.
What were the stats in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.5, Shots 9–18, Shots on target 1–9, Shots inside box 6–12, Big chances 2–4, Corners 2–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Yes — both Crystal Palace and Manchester City scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Crystal Palace vs Manchester City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Manchester City 38%, it finished Manchester City (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 79%, it finished Landed.