Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City prediction — MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 16 Aug · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 57Draw 26Sporting Kansas City 17
The call
85%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

Colorado Rapids beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colorado Rapids had 28 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 6 (3), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.0.

Colorado…Full-time statsSporting…
74%Possession26%
2.9Expected goals (xG)1.0
28Shots6
3Shots on target3
17Shots inside box3
6Big chances3
8Corners2
3Saves1
12Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultColorado Rapids 57%Colorado Rapids (57% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score55%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Colorado Rapids to score87%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals64%
Sporting Kansas City to score63%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.0 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COL 2 · D 0 · SPO 3
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Sporting Kansas City 1–4 Colorado Rapids
Aug 2025Sporting Kansas City 4–2 Colorado Rapids
Jul 2025Colorado Rapids 1–2 Sporting Kansas City
Sept 2024Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Colorado Rapids
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Colorado Rapids beat Sporting Kansas City 2–0. Bawler's model had Colorado Rapids in front at 57% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colorado Rapids had 28 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 6 (3), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Colorado Rapids 2–0 Sporting Kansas City, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 57%, the draw 26% and Sporting Kansas City 17%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

Full-time: Possession 74%–26%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.0, Shots 28–6, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 17–3, Big chances 6–3, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2, Red cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City?

No. It finished 2–0, so Sporting Kansas City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Colorado Rapids 57%, it finished Colorado Rapids (57% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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