Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction — MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK
Colorado Rapids 40Draw 26Seattle Sounders FC 34
The call
66%
Colorado Rapids or draw
3.0
Goals expected
14d 15hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

Over 1.5 goals80%
Colorado Rapids to score79%
Seattle Sounders FC to score76%
Under 3.5 goals64%

Player forecasts

How much each player is expected to threaten the goal if he starts — lineups are confirmed about an hour before kickoff.

Based on counted shooting from the 2025 and 2026 seasons in this competition.

Colorado Rapids
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Rafael Navarro
FW · 3.0 shots expected
95%
67%
31%
Dante Sealy
MF · 2.2 shots expected
89%
39%
9%
Darren Yapi
FW · 2.1 shots expected
87%
63%
26%
Calvin Harris
MF · 2.0 shots expected
87%
46%
13%
Paxten Aaronson
MF · 2.0 shots expected
86%
50%
16%
Theodore Ku-DiPietro
MF · 1.9 shots expected
86%
52%
17%
Seattle Sounders FC
1+ shot1+ on target2+ on target
Danny Musovski
FW · 2.9 shots expected
94%
75%
40%
Georgi Minoungou
MF · 2.7 shots expected
93%
54%
18%
Pedro De la Vega
MF · 2.4 shots expected
91%
44%
12%
Albert Rusnák
MF · 2.3 shots expected
90%
59%
23%
Osaze De Rosario
FW · 2.3 shots expected
90%
56%
20%
Jordan Morris
FW · 2.1 shots expected
87%
70%
34%

These are forecasts, not tips. A player’s rate is weighted toward the league average when it rests on fewer minutes, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)L W W W L W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5COL 0 · D 3 · SEA 2
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Feb 2026Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 Colorado Rapids
Jul 2025Seattle Sounders FC 3–3 Colorado Rapids
Apr 2025Colorado Rapids 1–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Oct 2024Colorado Rapids 0–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Bawler's model rates this match: Colorado Rapids are favoured (40% win probability vs 34% for Seattle Sounders FC, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Colorado Rapids 1-1 Seattle Sounders FC (11.8% probability). Expected total goals: 3.02.

How does Bawler predict Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Colorado Rapids 40%, the draw 26% and Seattle Sounders FC 34%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

BTTS: Yes (61% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.57 and away expected goals 1.45.

Over or under 2.5 goals in Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.02. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Colorado Rapids form →Seattle Sounders FC form →