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Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction — MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 11 Oct · 02:30 UK
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
42Colorado Rapids win24Draw34San Jose Earthquakes win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Colorado Rapids had 13 shots (10 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.

Colorado…Full-time statsSan Jose…
63%Possession37%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.7
13Shots9
10Shots on target3
11Shots inside box5
2Big chances2
6Corners3
2Saves9
16Fouls12
5Offsides7
1Yellow cards1
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Colorado Rapids win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.8v1.5
3.3 in total
Both teams score
65%
Yes
3+ goals
64%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1.8Goals1.5
15.3Shots10.7
4.5On target5.0
4.7Corners5.5
Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
0.7Goals0.7
6.8Shots5.2
2.0On target2.4
2.2Corners2.6
Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1.1Goals0.9
8.6Shots5.6
2.5On target2.6
2.5Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
Colorado Rapids to score83%
San Jose Earthquakes to score79%
Goal before half-time73%

First half — what we expected

Colorado Rapids
49%
to score before half-time
San Jose Earthquakes
48%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Colorado RapidsColorado RapidsSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
61%6+ shots40%
37%8+ shots19%
83%1+ shots on target88%
32%3+ shots on target42%
60%2+ corners68%
20%4+ corners27%

League position

San Jose Earthquakes in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Oct 2026Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes
May 2026Colorado Rapids 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes
May 2025Colorado Rapids 0–2 San Jose Earthquakes
Mar 2025San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Colorado Rapids
May 2024Colorado Rapids 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Colorado Rapids form →San Jose Earthquakes form →

Common questions

Who won Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Colorado Rapids had 13 shots (10 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 9 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colorado Rapids 42%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 34%.

What were the stats in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 13–9, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 2–9, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 5–7, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Yes — both Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.