How it finished
Chelsea and Hull City drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Chelsea at 80% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 13%. It forecast 3.7 goals and the match produced 4. Chelsea had 12 shots (7 on target) to Hull City's 13 (5), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Chelsea vs Hull City?
Chelsea and Hull City drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Chelsea at 80% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 13%. It forecast 3.7 goals and the match produced 4. Chelsea had 12 shots (7 on target) to Hull City's 13 (5), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Chelsea vs Hull City?
Chelsea 2–2 Hull City, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Chelsea 80%, the draw 13% and Hull City 7%.
What were the stats in Chelsea vs Hull City?
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.3, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 6–9, Big chances 2–4, Corners 10–4, Saves 3–5, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–5.
Did both teams score in Chelsea vs Hull City?
Yes — both Chelsea and Hull City scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Chelsea vs Hull City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chelsea to win 80%, it finished Draw (13% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.