Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK prediction — Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK

Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 19:45 UK
Cercle Brugge KSV 54Draw 24Lommel SK 23
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1

How it finished

Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Cercle Brugge KSV had 19 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 14 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.

Cercle Brugge…Full-time statsLommel SK
53%Possession47%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.6
19Shots14
3Shots on target3
13Shots inside box9
1Big chances3
9Corners4
2Saves3
10Fouls10
3Offsides0
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultCercle Brugge KSV 54%Lommel SK (23% called)
Total goals3.11
Both teams to score59%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Missed
Second callHome Win 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Cercle Brugge KSV to score85%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Lommel SK to score69%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Cercle Brugge KSVBefore half-timeLommel SK
60%Chance to score40%
7.7Expected shots6.4
2.3Expected shots on target2.2
2.6Expected corners2.2
63%Chance of 7+ shots45%
37%Chance of 9+ shots21%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
41%Chance of 3+ shots on target39%
70%Chance of 2+ corners61%
26%Chance of 4+ corners19%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 76%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CER 4 · D 0 · LOM 1
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Apr 2017Lommel 0–1 Cercle Brugge
Mar 2017Cercle Brugge 0–5 Lommel
Feb 2017Lommel 0–1 Cercle Brugge
Nov 2016Cercle Brugge 1–0 Lommel
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

Lommel SK beat Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Cercle Brugge KSV at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 23%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Cercle Brugge KSV had 19 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 14 (3), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

Cercle Brugge KSV 0–1 Lommel SK, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Cercle Brugge KSV 54%, the draw 24% and Lommel SK 23%.

What were the stats in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 19–14, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 13–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 9–4, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK?

No. It finished 0–1, so Cercle Brugge KSV failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Cercle Brugge KSV vs Lommel SK right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Cercle Brugge KSV 54%, it finished Lommel SK (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Missed; Second call — we said Home Win 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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