Fenerbahce beat Caykur Rizespor 3–0. Caykur Rizespor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Fenerbahce's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Fenerbahce beat Caykur Rizespor 3–0. Caykur Rizespor had 19 shots (5 on target) to Fenerbahce's 13 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Caykur Rizespor created the better chances and still lost the game.
Caykur Rizespor 0–3 Fenerbahce, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Caykur Rizespor 24%, the draw 24% and Fenerbahce 51%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.0, Shots 19–13, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–10, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 2–5, Fouls 4–6, Offsides 0–3.
No. It finished 0–3, so Caykur Rizespor failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.