C.D. Nacional vs Estoril prediction — Primeira Liga · Sun 16 Aug · 15:30 UK

Primeira Liga · Sun 16 Aug · 15:30 UK
C.D. Nacional 38Draw 30Estoril 33
The call
69%
C.D. Nacional or draw
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0

How it finished

C.D. Nacional beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model had C.D. Nacional in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultC.D. Nacional 38%C.D. Nacional (38% called)
Total goals2.62
Both teams to score52%No
Model call1X 69%Landed
Second callUnder 2.5 Goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
C.D. Nacional to score79%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Estoril to score66%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Mar 2026Nacional 0–1 Estoril
Oct 2025Estoril 1–1 Nacional
Feb 2025Nacional 2–2 Estoril
Sept 2024Estoril 1–0 Nacional
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

C.D. Nacional beat Estoril 2–0. Bawler's model had C.D. Nacional in front at 38% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2.

What was the final score in C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

C.D. Nacional 2–0 Estoril, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with C.D. Nacional 38%, the draw 30% and Estoril 33%.

Did both teams score in C.D. Nacional vs Estoril?

No. It finished 2–0, so Estoril failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for C.D. Nacional vs Estoril right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said C.D. Nacional 38%, it finished C.D. Nacional (38% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 69%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Under 2.5 Goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →C.D. Nacional form →Estoril form →