How it finished
Bulgaria and Estonia drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Bulgaria at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Bulgaria had 17 shots (2 on target) to Estonia's 6 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we said the chances were
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them. Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
First half — what we expected
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bulgaria vs Estonia?
Bulgaria and Estonia drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Bulgaria at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; nobody scored. Bulgaria had 17 shots (2 on target) to Estonia's 6 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Bulgaria vs Estonia?
Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia, played on 29 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bulgaria 43%, the draw 24% and Estonia 33%.
What were the stats in Bulgaria vs Estonia?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.3, Shots 17–6, Shots on target 2–2, Shots inside box 7–1, Big chances 0–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 1–2, Fouls 9–26, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in Bulgaria vs Estonia?
No. It finished 0–0, so Bulgaria failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bulgaria vs Estonia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bulgaria or draw 67%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Missed.