Before kickoff our call was Iceland to win at 74%. Bawler had Iceland at 74%, the draw at 16% and Bulgaria at 10%. The match finished 3–0.
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 3.4.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.