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Estonia
UEFA Nations League · Team page

Estonia

4 Estonia forecasts settled so far.
Our record on EstoniaFull track record →
6 OctEstonia v IcelandIceland to win61%Missed
3 OctEstonia v LuxembourgEstonia or draw67%Landed
29 SeptBulgaria v Estonia2 or more goals85%Missed
26 SeptIceland v EstoniaIceland to win75%Missed
Next match · Fri 13 Nov 19:45 UK
LuxembourgLuxembourgvEstoniaEstonia
68%
Estonia or draw
32%Luxembourg win32%Draw36%Estonia win

The most likely score is 1-1, 3 or more goals has a 35% chance and both teams score 42% of the time.

Past meetings with Luxembourg: 1 played, won 1, drew 0, lost 0. Last: Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg · Oct 2026.
Locked about 17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →

Form · last 4

1 win, 3 draws · newest first · tap a result for its match page
Drew0–0v Iceland6 OctWon1–0v Luxembourg3 OctDrew0–0at Bulgaria29 SeptDrew1–1at Iceland26 Sept

Last 4 matches · per game

4 matches · Sept 2026 – Oct 2026 · friendlies excluded · league = UEFA Nations League average
10.3
Shots per game
league 13.2
4.8
Shots on target per game
league 4.0
0.5
Goals scored per game
league 1.1
0.3
Goals conceded per game
league 1.6
1.1
Expected goals (xG) per game
league 1.2
0.9
Expected goals against per game
league 1.4
42%
Possession
league 50%
4.8
Corners per game
league 4.5
At home and away · the same 4 matches
At home · per game
Goals0.50.0 against
Shots13.510.0 against
On target6.01.5 against
Corners5.05.0 against
Away · per game
Goals0.50.5 against
Shots7.018.0 against
On target3.55.0 against
Corners4.56.5 against

Common questions

Who do Estonia play next?

Estonia play Luxembourg away on Fri 13 Nov 19:45 UK. The published call is Estonia or draw, at 68%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Estonia v Luxembourg call?

Estonia or draw, at 68%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See the full forecast for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Estonia?

4 Estonia forecasts have been settled so far — too few to quote a hit rate from. Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What have Estonia averaged recently?

10.3 shots and 0.5 goals a game, conceding 0.3, counted over 4 competitive matches (Sept 2026 – Oct 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league