Before kickoff our call was Estonia or draw at 67%. Bawler had Estonia at 37%, the draw at 30% and Luxembourg at 33%. The match finished 1–0.
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.